{"id":32192,"title":"Anxious we Stand: Despite Worries, Europeans Remain Steadfast in Support for Ukraine","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/de\/europe-in-the-world\/anxious-we-stand-despite-worries-europeans-remain-steadfast-in-support-for-ukraine\/","date":"22. Februar 2023","date_unix":1677097267,"date_modified_unix":1747997840,"date_iso":"2023-02-22T20:21:07+00:00","content":"<p>As the cold of winter settles across Europe, analysts and policymakers alike have sought signs of waning public support for Ukraine. Yet the latest eupinions slides, entitled &#8222;Anxious we stand?&#8220; indicate that a year into the war, Europeans still remain broadly supportive of the Ukrainian cause.<\/p>\n<p>The survey, taken in December 2022, indicates that a majority of EU citizens believe that Ukraine will prevail over Russia \u2013 and that Russia\u2019s war of aggression is ultimately an attack on the whole of Europe. However, many have doubts about the efficacy of sanctions as a means of checking Russia\u2019s actions, and overall anxiety levels are high.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the data indicates that Europeans remain steadfast in their support of Ukraine \u2013 perhaps more so than had generally been assumed. This gives European governments considerable leeway to continue providing support to Ukraine as long as they remain transparent and consistent in communicating their goals and intentions.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Assessing resolve, plumbing anxieties<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The survey, with a sample size of 13,300 individuals, is representative of the EU as a whole, as well as of the seven member states of Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland and Spain.<\/p>\n<p>First, we examined a series of claims and values often evoked in discussions about the war while also examining ideas about responsibility for the conflict. Specifically, we asked respondents to agree or disagree with the following claims:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Ukraine will win this war.<\/li>\n<li>Russia\u2019s attack on Ukraine is an attack on all of Europe.<\/li>\n<li>Ukrainians also defend our freedom and prosperity, not just their own.<\/li>\n<li>Ukrainians have been attacked and need to defend themselves. Thus, only Ukrainians can decide when to fight and when to negotiate.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>These were followed by a pair of related questions:<\/p>\n<ol start=\"5\">\n<li>Economic and financial sanctions on Russia are supposed to support Ukraine in its war effort. Do you think these sanctions are: Effective? Ineffective? I don&#8217;t know.<\/li>\n<li>Who bears primary responsibility for the war in Ukraine? Russia? NATO? USA? I don&#8217;t know.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Finally, we measured anxiety and nostalgia about the state of the world. We asked respondents to agree or disagree with the following statements:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The world used to be a much better place.<\/li>\n<li>The world is a dangerous place.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Those who agreed with both statements were deemed to be \u201chighly anxious.\u201d The subsequent analysis examined how feelings about the war differed, if at all, between the highly anxious population and the population at large.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Strong majorities support Ukraine across the EU<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>A year into the war, European support for Ukraine remains resilient across a number of measures. Specifically:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Across the EU, 61% of respondents said they believed Ukraine would ultimately prevail in the conflict. Italians (51%) and Germans (55%) were less optimistic in this regard, while Poles (81%) showed the most confidence.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"Ukrainians will win this war.\" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-tKH9r\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/tKH9r\/8\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"457\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Similarly, 68% of Europeans said they saw the attack on Ukraine as an attack on all of Europe. Poland (79%) and Spain (78%) showed the highest level of agreement here, with Belgium (64%) displaying the lowest level.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"Russia\u2019s attack on Ukraine is an attack on all of Europe. \" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-U0EKc\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/U0EKc\/7\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"458\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A total of 62% of respondents agreed that Ukrainians were also defending \u201cour\u201d freedom and prosperity, not just their own. Once again, Poland (72%) and Spain (71%) showed the most agreement here, with Germany (59%) and Italy (59%) revealing the lowest levels.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"Ukrainians also defend our freedom and prosperity, not just their own.\" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-AwcYa\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/AwcYa\/6\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"483\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Fully 75% of the sample group agreed that only Ukrainians could decide when to fight and when to negotiate. Poles (87%) showed considerably higher levels of agreement here than their counterparts in other countries, with Italy (65%) and Germany (73%) showing the lowest (but still high) levels.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"Ukrainians have been attacked and need to defend themselves. Thus, only Ukrainians can decide when to fight and when to negotiate.\" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-b4dvN\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/b4dvN\/3\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"485\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Europeans show considerably less unanimity when it comes to the specific measures that the EU and other Western countries are using to check Russia&#8217;s actions. For example:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Just 40% of Europeans said they thought the sanctions against Russia were effective, with an equivalent share of 40% saying they were ineffective. Poles (59%) showed the highest level of confidence in the instrument, with Italy (32%) and France (35%) indicating the lowest levels of faith.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"Economic and financial sanctions on Russia are supposed to support Ukraine in its war effort. Do you think these sanctions are ...\" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-sWyQy\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/sWyQy\/12\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"483\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Fully 66% of Europeans said they believed Russia bore primary responsibility for the war. However, 11% overall attributed responsibility to the United States, with 5% leaning toward NATO and another 5% toward Ukraine itself. Poles (88%) were most adamant in pointing the finger at Russia, while Italians (15%) were most likely to blame the United States.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"Who bears primary responsibility for the war in Ukraine?\" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-hoD6i\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/hoD6i\/12\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"458\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>High levels of anxiety, nostalgia for better times<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The questions about anxiety and nostalgia showed that recent events have left a deep mark on Europeans\u2019 sense of security \u2013 but not to the point of undermining support for Ukraine. Specifically:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A majority of Europeans (66%) now fall into the highly anxious category. This share is highest in Spain (75%) and lowest in Italy (60%) and Belgium (61%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"Who is highly anxious? Those who agreed that: The world used to be a better place AND the world is a dangerous place.\" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-vNSja\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/vNSja\/10\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"485\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>Among highly anxious respondents, 61% still believed that Ukraine would win the war \u2013 the same percentage as among the sample as a whole. The share of the sample holding this opinion ranged from 48% in Italy to 83% in Poland.<\/li>\n<li>Similarly, high correlations between the highly anxious and the population as a whole, typically with just a single percentage point of difference, were seen for questions two through four.<\/li>\n<li>The highly anxious were a bit more skeptical than the general population about the efficacy of sanctions, with just 37% of this group seeing them as effective. Again, Poles were most confident, even among the highly anxious (59%). Italians (28%) were the least sure of the sanctions\u2019 effectiveness.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"postContentEmbed\">\n<div class=\"embedContainer\"><iframe title=\"The highly anxious: Economic and financial sanctions on Russia are supposed to support Ukraine in its war effort. Do you think these sanctions are...\" aria-label=\"stacked bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-vL1Rv\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/vL1Rv\/11\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"485\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}}))}();<\/script><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>Finally, the share of the highly anxious attributing responsibility for the war to Russia (66%) was the same as for the general population.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>EU policymakers can continue support for Ukraine &#8211; if they communicate well<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Given the gravity of the situation and the escalating costs both to states and to individual households, this continued level of support is remarkable. It is perhaps even more noteworthy that this support remains equally strong among those very anxious about the consequences. At this point, there appears to be little evidence that even additional time, cost and adversity will significantly undermine European support for Ukraine, as some \u2013 perhaps Russian President Vladimir Putin above all \u2013 had hoped. Yet citizens\u2019 clear skepticism toward policies such as sanctions indicates that Western politicians must redouble efforts to cultivate public trust with sound, fact-based messaging strategies.<\/p>\n<p>Readers interested in a more detailed discussion of the results and methodology can read <a href=\"https:\/\/eupinions.eu\/de\/text\/anxious-we-stand\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Anxious we stand?<\/a> or download <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de\/en\/publications\/publication\/did\/eupinions-slides-anxious-we-stand\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">eupinions slides: Anxious we stand?<\/a>\u00a0the full publication.<\/p>\n<p>For results from previous surveys addressing public sentiments on the Ukraine war, see:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/europes-future\/under-pressure-the-war-in-ukraine-and-european-public-opinion\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\" >Under pressure: The war in Ukraine and European public opinion<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/europes-future\/public-support-for-ukraine-end-of-summer-end-of-solidarity\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\" >Public Support for Ukraine \u2013 End of Summer, End of Solidarity?<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>About the author<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Isabell Hoffmann<\/strong>\u00a0is Senior Expert at the Bertelsmann Stiftung and head of \u201e<a href=\"https:\/\/eupinions.eu\/de\/home\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">eupinions<\/a>\u201c. eupinions is an independent platform for European public opinion. As an expert researcher on democracy and legitimacy in the European Union, she has managed research projects on the role of national parliaments in the EU as well as the origins and impact of populism, nationalism and authoritarianism in Europe.<\/p>\n","excerpt":"<p>As the cold of winter settles across Europe, analysts and policymakers alike have sought signs of waning public support for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","thumbnail":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/02\/eupinions3.png","thumbnailsquare":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/02\/eupinions3.png","authors":[{"id":29193,"name":"Isabell Hoffmann","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/blogger\/senior-expert-european-integration\/"}],"categories":[{"id":597,"name":"Europe in the World","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/category\/europe-in-the-world\/"}],"tags":[{"id":522,"name":"Despite Worries","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/despite-worries\/"},{"id":392,"name":"EU Ukraine","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/eu-ukraine\/"},{"id":523,"name":"european support for ukraine","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/european-support-for-ukraine\/"},{"id":151,"name":"Publications","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/publications\/"},{"id":385,"name":"The War Against Ukraine &amp; Europe","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/ukrainianwar\/"}]}