{"id":30547,"title":"China\u2019s Evolving Presence in Africa","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/de\/europe-in-the-world\/chinas-evolving-presence-in-africa-2\/","date":"24. Juli 2026","date_unix":1784898332,"date_modified_unix":1784898332,"date_iso":"2026-07-24T13:05:32+00:00","content":"<p><em>In the following, Africa will refer to both North-Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa<\/em><\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s engagement with the African continent has long raised concerns in European public debates and even more so among policy makers: the EU characterized Beijing\u2019s financing terms as unfavorable and <a href=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/globalization\/europes-struggles-for-influence-in-africa-in-light-of-the-kremlins-invasion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">opaque<\/a> . Widely regarded as a response to China\u2019 Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Brussels announced a \u20ac 150 billion \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/globalization\/europes-struggles-for-influence-in-africa-in-light-of-the-kremlins-invasion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global Gateway Africa<\/a> \u00a0investment scheme in early 2022.<\/p>\n<p>But what exactly does the Chinese economic footprint on the second largest continent look like and what are wider consequences of it?<\/p>\n<p>The following seeks to contemplate this very question not only by focusing on implemented lending policies but also by considering developments in trade, and investment.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Trade: <\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>China overtook the United States as Africa\u2019s largest bilateral trading partner in 2009 while last year has spawned the largest two-way trade volume ever recorded: \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.customs.gov.cn\/customs\/302249\/zfxxgk\/2799825\/302274\/302277\/302276\/4127455\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USD 254 billion<\/a>&#8211; up 35 percent from 2020.\u00a0 At the same time, the\u00a0 EU has jointly recorded a trade volume of over \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/eurostat\/statistics-explained\/index.php?title=Africa-EU_-_international_trade_in_goods_statistics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USD 300 billion<\/a>, therefore exceeding China as a regional actor.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, Africa still amounts to no more than 4 percent of total Chinese trade, coming in behind Oceania and Latin America. Considering the fact that Morocco alone has made up 1 percent of <a href=\"https:\/\/trade.ec.europa.eu\/doclib\/docs\/2006\/september\/tradoc_122530.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">total trade in goods<\/a>, Europeans have a deeper trade relationship, especially with North-Africa.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_1.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"graph: china africa trade alignnone wp-image-30555 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_1-1024x680.png\" alt=\"graph: china africa trade\" width=\"1024\" height=\"680\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_1-1024x680.png 1024w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_1-300x199.png 300w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_1-768x510.png 768w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_1-1536x1019.png 1536w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_1.png 1891w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As can be seen in the graph, the previous years have been characterized by a consistent trade deficit on behalf of Africa. With respect to 2021, essential pandemic goods such as Personal Protective Equipment (PPE), pharmaceuticals or masks have boosted Chinese exports despite supply chain- and other Covid-19 related disruptions.<\/p>\n<p>One of the key bodies for Sino-African relations, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.focac.org\/eng\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forum On China-Africa Cooperation<\/a> \u00a0(FOCAC), is held every three years to talk about a variety of issues concerning trade, investment, and other matters.<\/p>\n<p>At the 8<sup>th<\/sup> Ministerial Conference of the FOCAC last year in Dakar, Beijing has declared it seeks to import goods worth USD 300 billion over the next three years to counter the trade imbalance. The focus lies on increasing <a href=\"https:\/\/african.business\/2021\/11\/trade-investment\/what-can-africa-expect-from-focac-2021\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">agricultural imports<\/a> through financial aid, as well as to support the African Continental Free Trade Area, led by the African Union.<\/p>\n<p>To put this into perspective, this year\u2019s Sino-African deficit of around USD 43 billion is almost ten times larger than that of the EU. Nevertheless, an important characteristic of European imports remains the dominance of primary goods whereas Africa continues to import mostly manufactured ones.<\/p>\n<p>Regarding the top 5 Chinese trading partners on the continent, one can observe two extremes in 2021: On the one hand, Nigeria as well as Egypt are among the largest importers of goods deriving from the People\u2019s Republic of China (PRC)- their imports account for about 90 percent of two-way trade. A big share of these imports can be attributed to large scale infrastructure projects, such as the\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globaltimes.cn\/page\/202106\/1225957.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lagos-Ibadan railway<\/a> or\u00a0 Egypt\u2019s new <a href=\"https:\/\/chinaglobalsouth.com\/2021\/11\/17\/beijing-feels-egypts-administrative-capital-will-prove-chinas-winning-the-global-south-infrastructure-game\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">administrative capital<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, resource rich Angola and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) almost exclusively recorded exports, in form of <a href=\"https:\/\/oec.world\/en\/profile\/bilateral-country\/chn\/partner\/ago\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">crude patroleum<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/oec.world\/en\/profile\/bilateral-country\/chn\/partner\/cod\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">copper<\/a>\u00a0 to the PRC ,as their contribution to bilateral trade.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Investment <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The case of FDI exemplifies well the effect of declining U.S. efforts in Africa, as China\u2019s investment peaked in 2008, yet managed to surpass America in 2013 as the largest equity investor.<\/p>\n<p>From a European perspective, the realm of FDI stock is the ground on which numerous countries, or at least their investors, outperform China: According to UNCTAD 2020 Investment Report, the <a href=\"https:\/\/unctad.org\/system\/files\/official-document\/wir2020_en.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Netherlands<\/a>\u00a0 was the largest stock investor followed by the UK, France, the U.S. and China..<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_2.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-30556 size-large\" title=\"graph: chinese fdi flow to african countries\" src=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_2-1024x970.png\" alt=\"graph: chinese fdi flow to african countries\" width=\"1024\" height=\"970\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_2-1024x970.png 1024w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_2-300x284.png 300w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_2-768x727.png 768w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_2-1536x1455.png 1536w, https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Graph_2.png 1891w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As the graph illustrates, China\u2019s investment engagement focused primarily on infrastructure, while mining comes in second. Indeed, one third of all African infrastructure build since 2010 was both financed and constructed by Chinese State-owned Enterprises( SOE). The latter aspect of projects being carried out by Chinese entities has been at the forefront of <a href=\"https:\/\/merics.org\/en\/press-release\/belt-and-road-forum-chinese-companies-are-clearly-main-beneficiaries-bri-projects\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">criticism<\/a> over the last years, questioning the benefit for locals and the lack of environmental or social standards.<\/p>\n<p>On the contrary, the European Commission emphasized its agency of\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/commission\/presscorner\/detail\/en\/ip_21_6433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">&#8222;taking into account the needs of our partner countries&#8220;<\/a> ,while launching a \u20ac 300 billion investment plan. However, given the sheer size of Sino-African projects, it is not farfetched to say that, at least during Beijing\u2019s heyday over the last decade or so , European finance was widely regarded as more complicated and less accessible.<\/p>\n<p>With respect to who it is that conducts investments, 90 percent of the 10.000 Chinese companies in Africa are \u201cprivate\u201d, according to Director of the London School of Economics\u2019 \u201cChina-Africa\u201d initiative <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.lse.ac.uk\/africaatlse\/2021\/04\/02\/why-substantial-chinese-fdi-is-flowing-into-africa-foreign-direct-investment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Professor Shirley Yu<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>At this point though, I should be clear that it is difficult to compare private firms from Europe with those from China, given the different economic and political systems in place.<\/p>\n<p>Having addressed the limited nature of Chinese private entities, Mrs. Yu still argues that it is the following commercial motives that increasingly drive FDI from the People\u2019s Republic, particularly for \u201dprivate\u201d entities:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Africa\u2019s rapidly growing population depicts an attractive solution for China\u2019s future labor shortage problems as well as increasing domestic wages<\/li>\n<li>Chinese firms see an opportunity in Africa\u2019s growing middle class to access new consumer markets, especially in the fields of technology and communication<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>Loans and debt relief <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Over the past 20 years, China has been Africa\u2019s largest bilateral creditor, lending about <strong>Fehler! Linkreferenz ung\u00fcltig.<\/strong> between 2000 and 2019, of which 80 percent was committed in the latter decade. Disregarding the 2016 numbers, that have largely been affected by refinancing measures for Angola, 2013 has seen the peak of Chinese lending to Africa. Importantly, this is the year in which the Belt and Road Initiative was formally launched.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the PRC\u2019s strong position, its aggregate volume of loans is declining: although the Covid-19 pandemic certainly contributed to the staggering low\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bu.edu\/gdp\/files\/2022\/04\/GCI_PB_012_FIN.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2020 loans<\/a> of USD 1.9 billion, previous years nonetheless saw steadily declining commitments. This notion can be further observed at last year\u2019s FOCAC, which concluded one third fewer lending activity compared to the 2018 meeting.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, one can observe the effect of Beijing\u2019s increasing <a href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/2021\/06\/02\/what-do-we-know-about-chinese-lending-in-africa-pub-84648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">debt sustainability<\/a> concerns in the context of who receives major loans: countries that have previously negotiated debt restructuring measures or those who have failed to meet payments, a recent case for the latter is Zambia, have received comparably few loans. On the contrary, none of the top 5 recipients of 2019 loans have restructured any debt with China since 2000.<\/p>\n<p>Similar to the findings in the FDI section, creditors from the PRC have also become more commercially orientated, as non-concessional rates\u00a0 have greatly <a href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/2021\/06\/02\/what-do-we-know-about-chinese-lending-in-africa-pub-84648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">increased<\/a> since 2000.<\/p>\n<p>The last development to be noted is the persistency in resource-backed lending models, a controversial method to secure needed financing, especially among the European and American dominated <a href=\"https:\/\/clubdeparis.org\/en\/communications\/page\/who-are-the-members-of-the-paris-club\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Paris Club<\/a> . The case of Angola illustrates how vulnerable these practices are to commodity price shocks, as it had to file for IMF assistance following the 2015 macroeconomic developments. Despite this negative example, the DRC, Ghana, and Guinea continue to implement some form of resource backed lending.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Further Implications <\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The previous has showcased that China\u2019s presence in Africa is characterized by:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>increasing trade with an effort to enhance imports through measures agreed on at the FOCAC<\/li>\n<li>changing investment patterns from largely SOE investors in infrastructure to increasing \u201cprivate sector\u201d engagement with the service industries<\/li>\n<li>more cautious creditors that have undergone the process of diversification and commercialization over time<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Having laid the foundation of Chinese economic activity on the continent, it is time look at the bigger picture:<\/p>\n<p>While imports of natural resources such as oil, cobalt, or copper are all of strategic importance to the People\u2019s Republic, research shows that increasing commercial engagement is positively related to change of political alignment.<\/p>\n<p>When it comes to UN voting on matters sensible to Chinese domestic affairs, may they concern <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-africa-56717986\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Xin Jiang<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/thediplomat.com\/2020\/10\/which-countries-support-china-on-hong-kongs-national-security-law\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hong Kong<\/a>, most African countries have either supported Beijing or abstained. The creation of support in international organizations, or at least neutrality towards its politics, is an intentional consequence of advanced Sino-African commercial activity on Beijing\u2019s behalf.<\/p>\n<p>Another interesting sphere is that of security: Some experts see China taking on a\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispionline.it\/en\/pubblicazione\/chinas-blended-approach-security-africa-31216\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">blended security approach<\/a><strong>,<\/strong> caused by the growing the economic footprint on the continent.<\/p>\n<p>Central to that assumption is the general aversion of Chinese leadership to create a more muscular military presence in Africa, as it has portrayed itself a distinguished player from the west through \u201csouth-south\u201d solidarity and its emphasis on national sovereignty. Yet, with about 1 million Nationals living in Africa and 44 African countries having joined the Belt and Road Initiative by 2021, the PRC sees itself increasingly exposed to security threats towards its people and projects.<\/p>\n<p>Recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/china\/diplomacy\/article\/3160226\/china-offers-send-security-team-nigeria\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"\u00d6ffnet in einem neuen Tab\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">examples<\/a> of law enforcement cooperation exemplify closer security cooperation that should be expected to enhance in the near future.<\/p>\n<p>To conclude, Chinese economic engagement with the continent is rather maturing in the sense that past experiences &#8211; most notably in the realm of lending policies- lead to new strategies, than it is deteriorating. Additionally, the past 20 years of intensifying trade, investment, and loan commitments have clearly created closer cooperation in other areas, including but not limited to political alignment and security cooperation, that are just unfolding. To allow for a more comprehensive picture of China\u2019s evolving presence in Africa, this should not be overlooked.<\/p>\n<p><strong>About the author<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Leon Mosbacher is an intern at the Bertelsmann Stiftung, being involved in the China-Europe as well as Transatlantic part of the Stiftung\u2019s Europe\u2019s Future program. Doing his B.A. in Economics at the University of Aberdeen in Scotland, his interests include international trade and politics with a focus on Chinese economic and foreign policy. Having intern experience in China and intermediate Mandarin skills, he wants to pursue research in the realm of Chinese global politics.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","excerpt":"<p>In the following, Africa will refer to both North-Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa China\u2019s engagement with the African continent has long [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","thumbnail":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Header_China_s_evolving_presence_in_Africa.jpg","thumbnailsquare":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2022\/06\/Header_China_s_evolving_presence_in_Africa.jpg","authors":[{"id":30558,"name":"Leon Mosbacher","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/de\/blogger\/leon-mosbacher\/"}],"categories":[{"id":597,"name":"Europe in the World","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/category\/europe-in-the-world\/"}],"tags":[{"id":335,"name":"Africa","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/africa\/"},{"id":268,"name":"China","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/china\/"},{"id":213,"name":"trade","link":"https:\/\/bst-europe.eu\/tag\/trade\/"}]}